Looking Forward
Prediction and Uncertainty in Modern America
9780226475004
9780226509150
Looking Forward
Prediction and Uncertainty in Modern America
In the decades after the Civil War, the world experienced monumental changes in industry, trade, and governance. As Americans faced this uncertain future, public debate sprang up over the accuracy and value of predictions, asking whether it was possible to look into the future with any degree of certainty. In Looking Forward, Jamie L. Pietruska uncovers a culture of prediction in the modern era, where forecasts became commonplace as crop forecasters, “weather prophets,” business forecasters, utopian novelists, and fortune-tellers produced and sold their visions of the future. Private and government forecasters competed for authority—as well as for an audience—and a single prediction could make or break a forecaster’s reputation.
Pietruska argues that this late nineteenth-century quest for future certainty had an especially ironic consequence: it led Americans to accept uncertainty as an inescapable part of both forecasting and twentieth-century economic and cultural life. Drawing together histories of science, technology, capitalism, environment, and culture, Looking Forward explores how forecasts functioned as new forms of knowledge and risk management tools that sometimes mitigated, but at other times exacerbated, the very uncertainties they were designed to conquer. Ultimately Pietruska shows how Americans came to understand the future itself as predictable, yet still uncertain.
Pietruska argues that this late nineteenth-century quest for future certainty had an especially ironic consequence: it led Americans to accept uncertainty as an inescapable part of both forecasting and twentieth-century economic and cultural life. Drawing together histories of science, technology, capitalism, environment, and culture, Looking Forward explores how forecasts functioned as new forms of knowledge and risk management tools that sometimes mitigated, but at other times exacerbated, the very uncertainties they were designed to conquer. Ultimately Pietruska shows how Americans came to understand the future itself as predictable, yet still uncertain.
288 pages | 22 halftones | 6 x 9 | © 2017
Earth Sciences: Meteorology
Economics and Business: Economics--Agriculture and Natural Resources
History: American History, History of Ideas, History of Technology
Reviews
Table of Contents
Acknowledgments
Introduction: Crisis of Certainty
1 • Cotton Guesses
2 • The Daily “Probabilities”
3 • Weather Prophecies
4 • Economies of the Future
5 • Promises of Love and Money
Epilogue: Specters of Uncertainty
Archival Collections
Primary Source Databases
Index
Introduction: Crisis of Certainty
1 • Cotton Guesses
2 • The Daily “Probabilities”
3 • Weather Prophecies
4 • Economies of the Future
5 • Promises of Love and Money
Epilogue: Specters of Uncertainty
Archival Collections
Primary Source Databases
Index
Be the first to know
Get the latest updates on new releases, special offers, and media highlights when you subscribe to our email lists!